Vislocky, R.L., and G.S. Young, 1988

Improving your weather forecasts through a better knowledge of skill scores

National Weather Digest, 13, 15-17

Abstract

Several skill scores that are used to evaluate the quality of weather forecasts will be discussed. Each skill score can be optimized by following the associated directive when making a forecast. If a forecaster wishes to do well with respect to a certain skill score, he owes it to himself to understand and follow the appropriate directive. Knowledge of these directives can be applied to forecast contests, issuing public weather forecasts, and understanding objective forecast systems.